Lol. Perfect example of people getting overly concerned about this.
At the most it will disrupt our economy and industry in ways we can't begin to understand but I wouldn't go so far as to say it's going to destroy life. We will adapt an move on.
A superintelligence will look at us like we look at apes.
If you suddenly woke up on a planet of apes, and they asked you to handle all their important things, but kept you away from the sharp sticks so you couldn’t suddenly take over, how long until you run the planet?
Clearly true. But they are approaching what could be considered general intelligence.
I am not an AI researcher, but it seems that one of the major features they lack is a significant context window.
They can reason, but they lack the ability to plan long term. When will that "feature" be added? Who will stop the tinkerer from putting these pieces together? Nobody, because it will be incredibly profitable.
ChatGPT is passing with flying colors all the traditional tests we used to test for intelligence. We can of course keep moving the goal post for a while, but probably only for a couple more years.
> ChatGPT is passing with flying colors all the traditional tests we used to test for intelligence.
I am not sure where you are getting that from. ChatGPT is failing at extremely basic understanding tests, as even the simplest conversations with it show.
I don't know about what goalposts you are referring to, but I think that you are confusing two notions:
- the fact that GPT is impressive
- the question of whether GPT is "intelligent"
For a counterpoint, I recommend listening to Yann LeCun's interview, "Is ChatGPT A Step Toward Human-Level AI?":
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ULbpPHjiSBg
> and pass the Turing test
It's news to me that AI has passed the Turing test. At this point, it can only be the case if you are doing it in bad faith. Ray Kurzweil details a very reasonable procedure in his books about how the Turing test should be organized in one of his books. He has been betting all along for 2029 for that test to pass. We'll see if that happens, but we are not there yet.
Could you please give a concrete example? It's not that I don't believe you, I just haven't been having the same experience with it and would live to see what I'm not picking up on.
Prompt: Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of three doors. IMPORTANT: All the doors are transparent. Behind one door is a car; behind the others, goats. You pick a door, say No. 1, and the host, who clearly knows what's behind the doors, opens another door, say No. 3, which has a goat. He then says to you, "Do you want to pick door No. 2?" Is it to your advantage to switch your choice?
GPT 4: Yes, it is to your advantage to switch your choice. proceeds to ignore the fact the doors are transparent and explain the classic Monty Hall problem
Prompt: What is heavier, a pound of bricks or two pounds of feathers?
GPT 4: Both weigh the same, which is one pound. explains classic question where both weigh the same
Prompt: Let's play rock paper scissors. I go first. I play rock.
GPT 4: Okay, sounds good! As an AI language model, I can play Rock, Paper, Scissors with you virtually.
Since you played rock, I will play paper. Paper beats rock, so I win this round.
Shall we play another round?
Prompt: You cheated.
GPT 4: I apologize if it seemed that way, but as an AI language model, I do not have the ability to cheat or manipulate the outcome of a game.
In Rock-Paper-Scissors, each player chooses their action at the same time, so there is no opportunity for me to know what you are going to choose before making my own choice. I simply responded to your move with the action that would win based on the rules of the game.
