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The real comparison is with an alternative scenario. Climate change would have been worse had there been no widespread recognition of its harm.

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GPT-5 will be finished next year, with the next model in the pipeline.

GPT-4 is just a kindergartner which can code at the level of an average human. (If you disagree, try teaching an average person to code or solve most novel problems better than it can.)

Even if AI does not have independent agency, malicious actors can use it to do large-scale harm much sooner than suggested above.

However, I’m sure someone will imbue AI with some kind of agency soon enough as well. What could go wrong?



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