There are plenty of shops making tons of money with HFT who do not have deal flow at all - it's got nothing to do with luck.
Survivorship bias would mean I simply got lucky. If you're going to say that you're at least going to need to look at my P&L charts and say how I could possibly achieve that much success with luck alone.
Finally, machine learning has everything to do with my success. There were hundreds of variables in my algorithm that were ALL optimized using ML. If you read the article you would know that I built an accurate model for backtesting that I used to optimize variables as well as confirm that I was going to make money before I even started live trading.
I'm pretty confident that whatever you were doing in 2004 has nothing to do with what I was doing.
agreed. jspaulding got it right although I can see nashequilibrium's skepticism as the US futures market is incredibly crowded (read: competitive, no free cookies).
Survivorship bias would mean I simply got lucky. If you're going to say that you're at least going to need to look at my P&L charts and say how I could possibly achieve that much success with luck alone.
Finally, machine learning has everything to do with my success. There were hundreds of variables in my algorithm that were ALL optimized using ML. If you read the article you would know that I built an accurate model for backtesting that I used to optimize variables as well as confirm that I was going to make money before I even started live trading.
I'm pretty confident that whatever you were doing in 2004 has nothing to do with what I was doing.